Tour Card Race 2022

[Emulsfier]

With the GP upon us, lets talk about who may be departing the land of proper darts at the end of the year.

https://www.dartsrankings.com/postwch

RJR and Rock have completed the top 64 in one year trick, and Williams is just about set to join them without a card. Sedlacek will prob need a win at both the euro championship and the worlds to get there.

On the negative side (or positive depending on how you look at it), some names we may be losing are:

Dead certs:

de Vos
Steve Pest
MBF Hudson
Glenda

Very likely:

Max Flopp
Baggish
JdZ
Mathers
Koltzov

Probable:

Hendo
Hunt
Boulton
JLowe

Right on the cusp:

Jeff
Mitchell
Murnan
Ron the Knob
Mrs Keegan


Still a fair few events for things to develop, but these look like the names to watch for the drop.

[TheMalteseDart]

Fuck sake!

[Emulsfier]

Fuck sake!

We know how you love Steve Pest.

[TheMalteseDart]

It’s more the 2 probable’s, I think they need to shithouse a grand slam qualifier

[The Thorn]

From this list this is who I would like to keep their cards

De Vos
Hopp
Baggish
De Zwaan
Big Hendo
Mitchell

[DeepFriedRat]

Will survive

Miss Keegan
Beaton
Zonneveld
De Decker (will make the Worlds by a qualifier again)

Might survive

Gawlas
Murnan
Meulenkamp
Kuivenhoven
Lewy Williams
Nentjes (but will be reincartnared by the Development Tour for the 38th time)

Won't survive

Mitchell
Lowe
JEFF
Borland
Boulton
De Zwaan (but will make the Worlds)
Hendo
Koltsov

Completely Fucked

Durrant
West
Hopp
Heaver
Hunt
Baggish
MBF Hudson
De Vos
Michael
Mathers

So Completely Fucked they're hopelessly forgettable

Worsley
Main
Claydon
Lovely
Van Peer

What's the point in getting a card in the first place?

Lerchbacher
Unterbuchner
David Evans
Jake Jones
John Brown

[Safc]

What's the odds Unterbuchner and Lerchbacher still go to Q-School aswell

[DeepFriedRat]

Top 64 after one year predictions

Rodriguez
Rock
Scott and Jim Williams
Sedlacek

Top 64 after two years predictions

Campbell
Menzies
Rusty Jane
Rafferty
Jansen (just about)

[Emulsfier]

Some of those who are gone without help from the worlds qualifier:

Maik Kuivenhoven (Huzzah!)
Scott Mitchell
Jeff Smith
JdZ (Boo)
JLowe
Adam Hunt
Glenda
Boulton
Hendo
Max Flopp
Koltzov
Baggish
Mathers
Steve Pest

[Safc]

I'd still expect

Kuivenhoven
JDZ
Jeff Smith
Boulton
Hendo
Baggish

To get them back all still playing to a level capable of winning a card.

[TheMalteseDart]

Is Murnan not fucked as well?

[Safc]

Not yet Malt

https://www.dartsrankings.com/postwch

[DeepFriedRat]

Hendo, Baggish and JDZ might do a Dirk/Uter tbf

All 3 playing the best they've done in 2 years right at the end. Should bounce back with a vengeance.

Kuivenhoven and MeinKampf also should get their cards back no problem bc Euro Q School is hideous

[thegentle]

Lewy Williams: already has a card for next year via the Development Tour, but is probably going to be safe in the top 64 unless a few players go on decent runs. If he holds on, Jurjen van der Velde has a tour card for the next two seasons

Murnan: probably fucked if he doesn't qualify for Ally Pally but almost certainly safe if he does make it

Gawlas: touch and go if he doesn't win another game on TV, will probably be safe with one win, especially if it's at the Worlds

Keegan Brown: probably fucked if he doesn't win a TV game, but a TV win would strengthen his case, especially if it's at Ally Pally

Scott Williams: Safe for next year via the Challenge Tour, probably needs to win at least a game on TV to secure a top 64 spot (and a tour card for van Trijp), and has decent opportunities to do that money at Wolves, Minehead and Ally Pally

Meulenkamp: almost certainly fucked if he doesn't qualify, but almost certainly safe if he does make it

Kuivenhoven: fucked if he doesn't make it (barring people pulling out), but almost certainly safe if he does make it

Zonneveld: fucked if he doesn't win a game on TV, touch and go if he wins his first round game at Ally Pally, obviously winning a game or two at Minehead would help his cause, but he's one of the lower seeds

Mitchell, Borland and Jeff Smith: qualifying for Ally Pally might be enough, but in all likelihood they'd need to win at least one game

Nentjes: has a tour card secure anyway via the Development Tour, he might gatecrash the top 64 if he wins his first round game and give a tour card to Girvan (or van der Velde in the case of Lewy Williams dropping out of the top 64), but likely needs to win more than game on TV between now and the end of the season

Lowe, Hunt, Durrant, Heaver, Boulton: Need to qualify and win at least one game at Ally Pally to make it, but quite possibly need more (in particular the latter names)

Anyone else who isn't on a 2-year tour card will need to reach at least round 3 at Ally Pally or else it'll be Q-School for them

[oche balboa]

My Predictions

Maik Kuivenhoven: He wont be back on the circult for a while if ever. Will do average at Q School

Scott Mitchell: Scotty Dog has had a poor 2022 where i thought he would have a solid one. He said he going to Q School. I expect him to get a card -

Jeff Smith: Too Solid. But i don't think he will get his card back but CDC will be a better route for him

JdZ: Circled the drain for 2 years. off form and past his peak already. Q School will have too much for him

Jason Lowe: Who knows what will happen with him

Adam Hunt: Josh Payne type of decline for him. Will dominate Modus weeks

Glen Durrant: Duzza will be at the Seniors Tour and Modus

Boulton: Will get his tourcard back as he knows how to do it

Hendo: It's the end of hendo aside from Modus plus 2023 he will play Seniors

Max Flopp
Koltzov
Baggish
Mathers
Steve Pest


Flopp will job on the challenge tour. Boris will go regional if possible. Baggish too. Mathers will do the same. West is retiring

[TheMalteseDart]

Henderson’s level this year suggests he has a good chance of succeeding at Q School

Would be surprised if Kuivenhoven is too shit for EU Q School.

Adam Hunt wouldn’t even dominate modus at the moment

[Emulsfier]

I expect Hendo, Jdz, Jeff and Boulton to get their cards back. Mitchell, Flopp, Hunt, Kuivenhoven and Mathers to fail.

[The Thorn]

I expect Hendo, Jdz, Jeff and Boulton to get their cards back. Mitchell, Flopp, Hunt, Kuivenhoven and Mathers to fail.

Mitchell and Hopp deserve to have a tour card. De Zwaan is good enough. Smiff and Boulton I'm not keen on.

[Emulsfier]

I expect Hendo, Jdz, Jeff and Boulton to get their cards back. Mitchell, Flopp, Hunt, Kuivenhoven and Mathers to fail.

Mitchell and Hopp deserve to have a tour card. De Zwaan is good enough. Smiff and Boulton I'm not keen on.

"Deserve"

[Ross, Bob]

I expect Hendo, Jdz, Jeff and Boulton to get their cards back. Mitchell, Flopp, Hunt, Kuivenhoven and Mathers to fail.

Mitchell and Hopp deserve to have a tour card. De Zwaan is good enough. Smiff and Boulton I'm not keen on.

"Deserve"

Soon it will be a civil right.