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OK, I am going to try and predict the outcome of the Electoral College (assuming Biden vs Trump) and Senate Race in 2024. This will be updated over time.
Electoral College - 270 to win (538 Total)
Biden Certainly - 211
California 54
New York 28
Washington 12
Oregon 8
New Mexico 5
Hawaii 4
Colorado 10
Illinois 19
Virginia 13
Maine 3
District of Columbia 3
Maryland 10
Delaware 3
New Jersey 14
Connecticut 7
Rhode Island 4
Massachusetts 11
Vermont 3
Indiana 11
Ohio 17
West Virginia 4
Maine 1
Texas 40
Florida 30
Alaska 3
Utah 6
Nebraska 4
Idaho 4
Montana 4
Wyoming 3
North Dakota 3
Oklahoma 7
South Dakota 3
Kansas 6
Arkansas 6
Louisiana 8
Mississippi 6
Alabama 9
South Carolina 9
Kentucky 8
Tennessee 11
Missouri 10
Iowa 6
Trump Probably - 42
Georgia 16
North Carolina 16
Wisconsin 10
Current Tally
Biden 211 + 66 = 277
Trump 219 + 42 = 261
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Tue Nov 14, 2023 1:40 pm
by Captain Hobo
***Interesting Senate Elections***
Arizona
Incumbent Kyrsten Sinema was elected as a Democrat in 2018 but is now an Independent. Democrats have a strong potential candidate in Ruben Gallego, I think he will win if he's the nominee but it depends how crazy the Republican Candidate is (Hello Kari Lake) and where Sinema takes votes from if she runs.
Montana
Democrat Jon Tester has won this seat 3 times in a row but in a state that will massively vote for Trump he is in danger. Will be interesting who the Republican nominee will be.
Nevada
Democrat Jacky Rosen up for re-election. Will be very close.
Ohio
Democrat Sherrod Brown is very popular in Ohio and should just hold on despite Trump winning the state.
West Virginia
Incumbent Democrat Joe Manchin has said he is retiring and if that is true whoever the Republicans nominate will win. He may be persuaded to run again though.
Wisconsin
Democrat Tammy Baldwin is a popular incumbent and should hold on despite it being a toss-up in the Presidential race.
Incumbent Kyrsten Sinema was elected as a Democrat in 2018 but is now an Independent. Democrats have a strong potential candidate in Ruben Gallego, I think he will win if he's the nominee but it depends how crazy the Republican Candidate is (Hello Kari Lake) and where Sinema takes votes from if she runs.
Montana
Democrat Jon Tester has won this seat 3 times in a row but in a state that will massively vote for Trump he is in danger. Will be interesting who the Republican nominee will be.
Nevada
Democrat Jacky Rosen up for re-election. Will be very close.
Ohio
Democrat Sherrod Brown is very popular in Ohio and should just hold on despite Trump winning the state.
West Virginia
Incumbent Democrat Joe Manchin has said he is retiring and if that is true whoever the Republicans nominate will win. He may be persuaded to run again though.
Wisconsin
Democrat Tammy Baldwin is a popular incumbent and should hold on despite it being a toss-up in the Presidential race.
Can see Nevada going republican
Manchin is one of the few democrats who has backed republicans in the past so if he doesn't run its a republican win
Can't see the others changing. So R 51, D 49
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Tue Nov 14, 2023 2:11 pm
by oche balboa
Sherrod Brown is an interesting one, he's is very liberal and the state is lean conservative. I wonder what he has to make him popular
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Tue Nov 14, 2023 2:16 pm
by oche balboa
Captain Hobo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 1:31 pm
****Captain Hobo predicts the Election*****
OK, I am going to try and predict the outcome of the Electoral College (assuming Biden vs Trump) and Senate Race in 2024. This will be updated over time.
Electoral College - 270 to win (538 Total)
Biden Certainly - 211
California 54
New York 28
Washington 12
Oregon 8
New Mexico 5
Hawaii 4
Colorado 10
Illinois 19
Virginia 13
Maine 3
District of Columbia 3
Maryland 10
Delaware 3
New Jersey 14
Connecticut 7
Rhode Island 4
Massachusetts 11
Vermont 3
Indiana 11
Ohio 17
West Virginia 4
Maine 1
Texas 40
Florida 30
Alaska 3
Utah 6
Nebraska 4
Idaho 4
Montana 4
Wyoming 3
North Dakota 3
Oklahoma 7
South Dakota 3
Kansas 6
Arkansas 6
Louisiana 8
Mississippi 6
Alabama 9
South Carolina 9
Kentucky 8
Tennessee 11
Missouri 10
Iowa 6
Trump Probably - 42
Georgia 16
North Carolina 16
Wisconsin 10
Current Tally
Biden 211 + 66 = 277
Trump 219 + 42 = 261
I think Arizona and Nevada will decide the presidency. I agree with most of your predictions but i'm leaning trump on those two states
So mine is Biden 260. Trump 278
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Tue Nov 14, 2023 2:18 pm
by oche balboa
I also think Democrats will win back the House. So it will be a flip reversal of what we have now
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Tue Nov 14, 2023 2:20 pm
by Captain Hobo
oche balboa wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 2:11 pm
Sherrod Brown is an interesting one, he's is very liberal and the state is lean conservative. I wonder what he has to make him popular
He is a very skilled communicator and gets his message across well.
Comes across as more of a normal person than most Politicians.
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Wed Nov 29, 2023 4:50 am
by Captain Hobo
MTG's book is a complete flop, who woulda thought?
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Wed Nov 29, 2023 4:54 am
by Captain Hobo
Nikki Haley endorsed by the 1 Koch brother who is unfortunately not yet worm food.
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Wed Nov 29, 2023 12:33 pm
by oche balboa
Makes no difference. It's going to be Trump
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Wed Nov 29, 2023 12:35 pm
by Cooking with Sandra
Oche stanning for Trump, and by proxy, Eccles, there.
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Wed Nov 29, 2023 1:47 pm
by Captain Hobo
Ron DeSantis and Gavin Newsom are debating on Fox News on Thursday night for some reason.
Captain Hobo wrote: ↑Thu Nov 30, 2023 1:02 pm
Quote from Casey DeSantis about her husband Ron.
"He is literally willing to put himself in front of a freight train to stand up for the people of this state and this country"
I'd like to take Ron up on his offer.
Ron is great. He's done a good job for Florida and he's punching with his missus
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Thu Nov 30, 2023 2:45 pm
by Cooking with Sandra
Oche supporting actual nazis for attention, there.
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Fri Dec 01, 2023 10:12 am
by Captain Hobo
Even 'The View' pointing out that Trump is losing his marbles. He doesn't know which city he's in, who the current President is, or that World War II has already happened.
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Fri Dec 01, 2023 11:03 am
by The Thorn
Trump v Biden 2024
Re: US Election 2024
Posted: Fri Dec 01, 2023 11:13 am
by Captain Hobo
The Thorn wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2023 11:03 am
Trump v Biden 2024
