2019 Worlds - Averages

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2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Thu Dec 20, 2018 4:18 pm

Round 1 complete. Sorted by winners' averages.
10 Pro Tour seeds were knocked out, shown in blue.


(97.58) Luke Humphries 3-0 Adam Hunt (81.40)
(96.19) Danny Noppert 3-0 Royden Lam (85.72)
(95.78) Keegan Brown 3-0 Karel Sedlacek (92.15)

(94.06) Vincent van der Voort 3-1 Lourence Ilagan (95.52)
(93.57) Darius Labanauskas 3-1 Matthew Edgar (83.41)
(93.56) Ron Meulenkamp 3-2 Diogo Portela (92.12)
(92.97) Ted Evetts 3-0 Simon Stevenson (93.96)
(92.82) Richard North 3-2 Robert Marijanovic (85.99)
(92.56) Chris Dobey 3-0 Boris Koltsov (79.19)
(91.89) Ross Smith 3-1 Paul Lim (91.28)
(91.18) Jeffrey de Zwaan 3-0 Nitin Kumar (77.75)
(91.12) Alan Tabern 3-2 Raymond Smith (86.14)
(91.03) Daniel Larsson 3-1 Robert Thornton (87.15)
(90.64) Seigo Asada 3-2 Krzysztof Ratajski (90.20)
(90.34) Ryan Joyce 3-0 Anastasia Dobromyslova (77.32)

(89.30) Rowby-John Rodriguez 3-1 Ricky Evans (90.74)
(88.95) Jan Dekker 3-1 Lisa Ashton (88.56)
(88.66) Cody Harris 3-2 Martin Schindler (85.18)
(88.55) Kevin Burness 3-0 Paul Nicholson (85.03)
(88.42) Nathan Aspinall 3-0 Geert Nentjes (78.03)
(88.08) Michael Barnard 3-2 Jose de Sousa (87.83)
(87.82) Ryan Searle 3-0 Stephen Burton (87.06)
(87.34) Josh Payne 3-2 Jeff Smith (88.98)
(87.22) Steve Lennon 3-0 James Bailey (80.18)
(87.12) William O’Connor 3-0 Yordi Meeuwisse (84.30)
(86.63) Brendan Dolan 3-0 Yuanjun Liu (78.45)
(86.03) Antonio Alcinas 3-0 Craig Ross (71.47)
(85.86) Noel Malicdem 3-2 Jeffrey de Graaf (78.52)
(85.25) Dimitri Van den Bergh 3-0 Chuck Puleo (83.34)

(84.79) Devon Petersen 3-2 Wayne Jones (83.66)
(83.27) Gabriel Clemens 3-0 Aden Kirk (80.31)

(75.33) Jim Long 3-1 Michael Mansell (74.45)
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by thegentle » Thu Dec 20, 2018 4:50 pm

The shrooms find it suspicious you've waited until now to focus on the averages
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Randall » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:01 pm

I'd forgotten the mansell v long game!
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:04 pm

I wonder which round of the world pro the shrooms will enjoy comparing to the Last 96 of this.
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:04 pm

Christopher Kempf‏ @ochepedia

1st round stats:

15,807 darts thrown
87,10 overall average
175 180s (0.353 per leg)
3,650 treble 20s hit (33.5%)
654 treble 19s hit (33.3%)
146 treble 18s hit (30.2%)
52 finishes of 99 or 101+ (147 highest)
496 legs played (35.0% on doubles)
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Randall » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:05 pm

Waites won lakeshite with less.
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by The Ginge Reaper » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:07 pm

Rogg wrote:I wonder which round of the world pro the shrooms will enjoy comparing to the Last 96 of this.
Ha!
Big changes on the way ! We've heard it before but it's different this time !!!! , I believe Bdo gonna grow x

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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Mabbsy » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:15 pm

Randall wrote: Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:01 pm I'd forgotten the mansell v long game!
When was that, pre-split ?

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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Randall » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:16 pm

Mabbsy wrote: Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:15 pm
Randall wrote: Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:01 pm I'd forgotten the mansell v long game!
When was that, pre-split ?

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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by thegentle » Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:24 pm

Mabbsy wrote: Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:15 pm
Randall wrote: Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:01 pm I'd forgotten the mansell v long game!
When was that, pre-split ?
Just after actually, when we had to invite the colonials to make up the numbers at the Circus Tavern
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Sat Dec 22, 2018 3:06 pm

Round 2 complete.
13 seeds lost, shown in blue.


(104.45) Dimitri Van den Bergh 3-1 Jonny Clayton (92.68)
(103.26) Kim Huybrechts 3-0 Daniel Larsson (91.26)
(102.93) Rob Cross 3-1 Jeffrey de Zwaan (106.09)
(102.59) Michael van Gerwen 3-1 Alan Tabern (93.45)
(100.30) Daryl Gurney 3-0 Ross Smith (88.69)

(98.73) William O'Connor 3-2 James Wilson (93.80)
(97.76) Mervyn King 3-2 Jan Dekker (87.56)
(97.20) Adrian Lewis 3-0 Ted Evetts (95.92)
(96.41) Kyle Anderson 3-1 Noel Malicdem (92.93)
(95.58) Dave Chisnall 3-2 Josh Payne (98.48)
(95.56) Luke Humphries 3-1 Stephen Bunting (88.21)
(95.17) John Henderson 3-2 Gabriel Clemens (93.89)

(94.92) Gary Anderson 3-1 Kevin Burness (92.35)
(94.68) Devon Petersen 3-2 Ian White (98.66)
(94.07) Michael Smith 3-1 Ron Meulenkamp (93.81)
(93.57) James Wade 3-2 Seigo Asada (97.50)
(93.51) Max Hopp 3-0 Danny Noppert (97.35)
(93.44) Chris Dobey 3-0 Steve Beaton (89.27)
(93.12) Antonio Alcinas 3-1 Peter Wright (94.70)
(92.72) Brendan Dolan 3-0 Joe Cullen (85.16)
(92.32) Jamie Lewis 3-2 Cody Harris (92.52)
(92.28) Nathan Aspinall 3-2 Gerwyn Price (89.08)
(92.23) Alan Norris 3-2 Steve Lennon (87.89)
(90.66) Ryan Searle 3-1 Mensur Suljovic (90.83)
(90.40) Ryan Joyce 3-0 Simon Whitlock (87.63)

(89.94) Jermaine Wattimena 3-0 Michael Barnard (83.34)
(89.49) Steve West 3-1 Richard North (95.96)
(89.30) Cristo Reyes 3-2 Rowby-John Rodriguez (85.28)
(87.81) Vincent van der Voort 3-0 Darren Webster (85.48)
(86.81) Darius Labanauskas 3-2 Raymond van Barneveld (89.57)
(86.62) Benito van de Pas 3-2 Jim Long (85.71)

(82.55) Keegan Brown 3-1 Jelle Klaasen (79.24)
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Sat Dec 22, 2018 3:17 pm

...thanks to @TheRedBit180.

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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by cannibal » Sat Dec 22, 2018 7:03 pm

For comparison here are the avgs from prior years I have courtesy of Armchairfan

2017 Averages from the last 7 tournaments in brackets (2016-2010)

Prelim: 81.99 (79.97 83.39 82.51 80.51 81.12 84.18 80.60)
Last 64: 90.69 (90.27 89.13 88.44 88.58 89.83 87.71 88.24) - note: comparable to the second round for 2019
Last 32: 94.85 (93.98 93.40 94.41 92.82 91.97 91.96 91.45)
Last 16: 96.53 (98.42 97.26 95.72 92.37 94.18 95.23 95.33)
1/4 finals: 100.94 (99.29 100.05 95.34 98.71 94.15 96.43 98.86)
1/2 finals: 106.02 (98.46 101.40 99.76 95.19 96.01 98.23 97.17)
Final: 106.51 (99.74 99.19 97.91 101.85 91.93 99.60 102.46)

if anyone has the "true" averages for 2018 would greatly appreciate posting them here or pm me.

In short the first round can't really be compared to the Prelim round of years past. But I would argue that the first round now certainly is a far better sorting mechanism than years past in relation to who plays a seed at least. So should expect better quality getting thru on average. Therefore; not surprising the Last 64 Avgs have had a more than substantial jump and the seeds have been fucked off at the rate they are. What is surprising; at least to me, is the number of the top 16 seeds have been knocked out after round 2.
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by sennafan24 » Sat Dec 22, 2018 7:39 pm

Huh, I really didn't think that the standard in the last 64 was that much better than last year.

All hail the PDC I guess.
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Gidra » Sun Dec 23, 2018 1:16 am

Hearn is a cunt
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Fri Dec 28, 2018 3:23 pm

Round 3 complete. Almost an equal split of seeds and non-seeds in the last 16. Unseeded winners in blue.


(101.72) Rob Cross 4-0 Cristo Reyes (96.20)
(101.51) Michael van Gerwen 4-1 Max Hopp (96.68)
(100.47) Michael Smith 4-2 John Henderson (94.65)

(97.87) Chris Dobey 4-3 Vincent van der Voort (93.43)
(97.60) Dave Chisnall 4-0 Kim Huybrechts (89.84)
(97.43) Adrian Lewis 4-0 Darius Labanauskas (89.74)
(97.33) Gary Anderson 4-3 Jermaine Wattimena (95.19)
(96.17) Nathan Aspinall 4-1 Kyle Anderson (98.52)
(95.73) Brendan Dolan 4-2 Mervyn King (92.22)

(94.71) James Wade 4-3 Keegan Brown (91.01)
(93.94) Jamie Lewis 4-3 Daryl Gurney (91.08)
(92.25) Devon Petersen 4-2 Steve West (95.68)

(89.64) Luke Humphries 4-1 Dimitri Van den Bergh (90.82)
(89.40) Ryan Searle 4-1 Willie O'Connor (89.76)
(87.74) Ryan Joyce 4-3 Alan Norris (89.65)
(85.61) Benito van de Pas 4-2 Antonio Alcinas (84.53)
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Sat Dec 29, 2018 12:34 pm

Round 4 complete.


(108.08) Michael van Gerwen 4-1 Adrian Lewis (101.16)

(99.72) Michael Smith 4-1 Ryan Searle (96.22)
(99.71) Luke Humphries 4-2 Rob Cross (97.38)
(98.75) Gary Anderson 4-3 Chris Dobey (100.83)
(98.50) Dave Chisnall 4-0 Jamie Lewis (93.75)
(95.76) Nathan Aspinall 4-3 Devon Petersen (90.75)

(89.77) Brendan Dolan 4-1 Benito van de Pas (86.67)
(87.69) Ryan Joyce 4-3 James Wade (90.77)
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by thegentle » Sat Dec 29, 2018 12:51 pm

Peter Wright you bad bad man
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Sat Dec 29, 2018 1:10 pm

Any sign of the true averages for these rounds?

This is my calculation, so, you know. The average of the averages:

Last 32: 93.69

Last 16: 95.97
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Re: 2019 Worlds - Averages

Post by Rogg » Sun Dec 30, 2018 12:10 pm

Kwarters.

(103.03) Gary Anderson 5-2 Dave Chisnall (96.54)
(103.00) Michael Smith 5-1 Luke Humphries (94.18)
(101.12) Michael van Gerwen 5-1 Ryan Joyce (88.35)

(99.72) Nathan Aspinall 5-1 Brendan Dolan (93.87)


Average of the averages: 97.48
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